HAF Twin-Linked Assault Cannons not Lucky

[Dark Entropy]

http://www.dakkadakka.com/dakkaforum/po ... 74015.page

You have just been math edumucated

Class dismissed!

[ChobitsCrazy]

Yeah now factor in the fact that the Assault cannon is str 7

[Haf]

Yeah now factor in the fact that the Assault cannon is str 7

Incorrect. They are str 6 + rending.

The problem with those numbers, good sir, is that they are not giving you the full detail. The probability chart is skewed and poorly written to say the least. It gives us somewhat of a broad picture, but if that person's friend was actually a statistics major, then he'd know with 90% certainty, 95% certainty, and 99% certainty the different outcomes and options. The graphs for said outcomes don't even look like that, but instead look like bell curves with precise indications, even including the "randomness" factor. That being said, I'll concede to the idea that they are not bad, in contrary they are one of my favorite weapons (remember what I told you about your psycannons?). I was just in disbelief on HOW effective they were in ONE game. I deployed with the intention that one baal wasn't going to do enough to one pred, and he would be forced to make a decision on which of the 2 he was going to double team. He gambled instead of playing the numbers and came out on top. And with his "any given Sunday" rolls, he managed not only to come out on top, but basically lock me out of the game for 2 turns and crippled me for the few I actually could do something. Great gamble and great payoff, I definitely commend him for his bravery in that sense, but I'd be careful with lady luck, she sometimes has an un-lady-like way of running out.

[Dark Entropy]

I will concede that it is not detailed enough as well. Perhaps you can create a better one?

Food for Thought:
How do you think it would of turned out if he didn't roll the way he did? What if he just stunned them or weapon destroyed or nothing at all? Would you have won the game? Would you have blown up his predators or whiffed your first turn? You say gamble but what do you actually mean? Did he destroy the first one with his first volley therefore making it obvious to shoot at the other one with the second volley?

The man with insight enough to admit his limitations comes nearest to perfection.
- Johann von Goethe

[Enigmai]

The problem with statistics is that it can be manipulated to the eyes of the one counting! So all of that and $4.00 can buy you a cup of coffee!

[Dark Entropy]

More Data for all you math junkies out there.
http://www.twinlinked.net/